Puerto Rico Oversight Board projecting huge long-term surplus - 6:00 AM 11/20/2018 - Puerto Rico Business Review
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Puerto Rico Oversight Board projecting huge long-term surplus | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
According to the latest report by the Financial Oversight and Management Board for Puerto Rico, the long-term 40 year surplus is projected to ring in at $20 billion-far higher than their forecast on June 29, where they predicted a surplus of $4 billion. This projection is a result of a new plan expecting increased revenue due to cut costs, an influx of disaster aid, consolidated agencies, healthcare reform, and an increased tax revenue.
Negotiations are still going on before certifying the new fiscal plan, as the board recently submitted a letter to Governor Ricardo Rosselló on September 19, calling for more spending cuts. This projection bodes well for creditors, hoping to see if some of the surplus money will be returned to bondholders. Coupled with the deals the territory has made with some of its creditors, the price of Puerto Rico’s general-obligation bonds have doubled this year, as the economic outlook of the territory begins to improve. The territory is proceeding with caution before certifying the new plan, however, as last time it certified a fiscal plan, there was an error with a cost of $4 billion. Even with the positive outlook for the new projection, the report emphasizes that “Puerto Rico cannot afford to meet all its contractual debt obligations” and deeply requires a “ restructuring of its debt.” Moreover, the territory’s report claims that much of its economic woes and debt could be alleviated in a political manner, stating that “the most important and critical structural reform for Puerto Rico is a permanent solution to its territorial status. The solution to these inequalities is statehood for Puerto Rico.” This would then “stop outmigration, increase the on-island workforce, and grow Puerto Rico’s economy,” perhaps driving the 40 year surplus of the territory even higher if actualized. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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4:56 AM 11/20/2018 - Route traced in the renegotiation of debt | Opinion Ruta trazada en la renegociación de la deuda | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Route traced in the renegotiation of debt | OpinionRuta trazada en la renegociación de la deudaEl acuerdo que se concreta entre la Junta Federal de Control Fiscal, el gobierno y grupos de acreedores para llevar a feliz término la renegociación de la deuda de la Corporación del Fondo de Interés Apremiante (Cofina) es un paso… Saved Stories In Brief Saved Stories
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Ruta trazada en la renegociación de la deuda | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
El acuerdo que se concreta entre la Junta Federal de Control Fiscal, el gobierno y grupos de acreedores para llevar a feliz término la renegociación de la deuda de la Corporación del Fondo de Interés Apremiante (Cofina) es un paso… | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Route traced in the renegotiation of debt | Opinion | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The agreement that takes shape between the Federal Fiscal Control Board, the government and groups of creditors to successfully complete the renegotiation of the debt of the Fund of Interest-prone (Cofina) is a step in the right direction because it makes sense of urgency to the task of removing from the road to the fiscal consolidation and the economic development of Puerto Rico.
This agreement has been reached as a result of working shoulder to shoulder, fundamentally between the fiscal board and the Rossello administration. The credit collapse gestated in the fiscal failures, and that began to worsen after the closure of government and the crisis of governance in 2006, has passed as a country to bitter bill, with an economic depression that adds up to 12 years and a public debt which - with all its aspects, derivatives and multiplier effect - exceeds $ 130,000 million. Ni el proceso legislativo fue inclusivo ni la medida endosada es perfecta. Pero la realidad es que es extremadamente necesario poner en práctica los mecanismos que sean viables, que hagan posible el destranque en un asunto nuestro tan neurálgico a dos años de creada la ley Promesa. Este proyecto de administración y su aprobación legislativa son un buen ejemplo de lo que se puede lograr cuando la unidad de propósito aflora. A un año y tres meses desde su entrada al TÃtulo III, trascendió que habÃa un acuerdo entre una parte de los acreedores, el gobierno y la junta fiscal para reestructurar la deuda fuera del proceso de quiebra. En principio eso incluyó a bonistas senior y junior, asà como a aseguradoras de deuda. Luego de intensas negociaciones, se logró que se sumara la cantidad requerida de acreedores en el acuerdo para hacerlo viable, lo cual pasó a la certificación de la jueza de distrito federal Laura Taylor Swain, quien preside todo el proceso de quiebra del gobierno de Puerto Rico. De igual forma, el arreglo contempla una redistribución de la división de los recaudos producto del Impuesto sobre Ventas y Usos (IVU), lo cual le deja más dinero al Fondo General, con un promedio de $425 millones anuales durante unos 40 años. Falta mucho por recorrer, es cierto. Pero es de esperarse que este importante acuerdo sobre Cofina se convierta —con determinación— en la llave que abra la puerta ancha para conducir al éxito la reestructuración de los demás segmentos de deuda pública del PaÃs. Es de esperarse que el acuerdo sea ratificado en el futuro cercano por la jueza Swain. It should also be ensured that after this exercise the future negotiations will take place in better terms for the Island, and that we will be able to take off the straitjacket that holds back economic development and that also slows down the return to bonds markets under fair and beneficial to the people of Puerto Rico. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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